福建柏人工林单木生长规律及模型筛选

Individual-Tree Growth Patterns and Modeling for Fokienia hodginsii Plantations

  • 摘要: 以福建省上杭县36 a福建柏人工林为研究对象,采用树干解析法获取标准木胸径、树高和材积的历年生长数据;利用Richards、Korf等5种经典理论生长方程进行非线性回归拟合,筛选出最优生长模型。结果表明:①福建柏单木生长呈现典型的S型曲线规律,但各测树因子生长节律存在显著的异速性。②Richards方程为胸径和材积生长的最优模型,Korf方程为树高生长的最优模型。③经解析木数据内部检验与样地实测数据外部验证,各最优模型的预测值与实测值均高度吻合,相对总误差均低于5%,且两者间无显著性差异(P>0.05);研究所筛选的Richards和Korf方程可精确模拟和预测福建柏的单木生长动态,为其人工林精准经营和可持续管理提供科学参考。

     

    Abstract: This study focused on a 36-year-old Fokienia hodginsii plantation in Shanghang County,Fujian Province.Annual growth data for diameter at breast height(DBH),tree height and stem volume were obtained from sample trees using the stem analysis method.Five classic theoretical growth equations,including Richards and Korf,were fitted through non-linear regression to select the optimal growth models.The results indicated that:①the single-tree growth of F.hodginsii followed a typical 'S’-shaped curve,but significant allometry existed in the growth rhythms among different mensuration factors.②The Richards equation was the optimal model for DBH and stem volume growth,while the Korf equation was optimal for tree height growth.③Validated both internally with stem analysis data and externally with plot-measured data,the optimal models showed high agreement between predicted and measured values,with all relative errors below 5% and no significant differences between them(P>0.05);the selected Richards and Korf equations can accurately simulate and predict the single-tree growth dynamics of F.hodginsii,providing a scientific reference for the precision forestry and sustainable management of its plantations.

     

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